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RBI Slashes Rate by 50 Basis Points to 5.5% and Reduces CRR by 100 Basis Points, Unlocking ₹2.5 Trillion in Bank Liquidity

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On Friday, Reserve Bank of India (RBI) Governor Sanjay Malhotra announced a decision by the Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) to lower the policy repo rate by 50 basis points (bps) to 5.5%. The MPC’s stance has shifted from ‘Accommodative’ to ‘Neutral’, he noted.

In a significant move for the banking sector, the RBI also revealed a 100 bps reduction in the cash reserve ratio (CRR). The Governor indicated that this CRR cut would occur in four equal installments throughout the year.

“This will inject primary liquidity of ₹2.5 lakh crore into the banking system, starting with 25 bps reductions on September 6, October 4, November 1, and November 29,” the Governor elaborated.

Regarding GDP forecasts, Governor Malhotra projected a real GDP growth rate of 6.5% for the fiscal year 2025-2026, maintaining previous forecasts with Q1 at 6.5%, Q2 at 6.7%, Q3 at 6.6%, and Q4 at 6.4%. The Indian economy showed strong performance, achieving a 7.4% GDP growth in the January-March 2025 quarter, driven by robust sectors such as construction and manufacturing.

On inflation, the Governor outlined forecasts for this fiscal year: Q1 at 2.9%, Q2 at 3.4%, Q3 at 3.9%, and Q4 at 4.4%. He noted, “Inflation has significantly softened over the last six months, declining from above the tolerance band in October 2024 to well below the target, with indications of broad-based moderation.”

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CPI headline inflation has continued its downward trend, reaching a nearly six-year low of 3.2% (y-o-y) in April 2025.

“Overall, the Indian economy is progressing well on both inflation and growth fronts, aligning with expectations. Strong macroeconomic fundamentals and a favorable inflation outlook provide flexibility for monetary policy to foster growth while ensuring price stability,” emphasized the Governor.

The MPC has now reduced rates by a total of 100 basis points in 2025, beginning with a quarter-point cut in February, the first reduction since May 2020, followed by a similar cut in April.

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Business

Gold Prices Decline Slightly on January 16

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Gold prices witnessed a mild decline in the domestic bullion market on January 16, 2026. The price of 24-carat gold was recorded at ₹143,080 per 10 grams. This marked a fall of ₹360 compared to its previous closing price, indicating a soft trend in the precious metal market.

Similarly, the price of 22-carat gold also moved lower. It was trading at ₹131,157 per 10 grams during the day. The decline in gold prices reflects cautious sentiment among investors amid changing global economic signals.

Market experts said gold prices were affected by fluctuations in international markets and movements in the US dollar. Profit booking by investors at higher levels also contributed to the marginal drop in prices.

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Despite the decline, demand for gold remains steady in the domestic market. Jewellers reported moderate buying interest, especially for 22-carat gold used in jewellery. Industry participants are now closely watching global inflation data, interest rate trends, and geopolitical developments.

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Gold prices are expected to remain volatile in the coming days. Investors are advised to keep an eye on global cues and currency movements before making fresh investments.

 

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Silver Crashes ₹12,500 to ₹2.43 Lakh per kg; Gold Declines ₹900

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Silver prices fell sharply from record levels in the national capital on Thursday due to global profit-booking. The price of silver dropped by ₹12,500 to ₹2,43,500 per kilogram.

According to the All India Sarafa Association, the white metal had touched a record high of ₹2,56,000 per kilogram in the previous trading session on Wednesday. Silver had surged by ₹5,000 in that session amid strong global cues.

Gold prices also weakened on Thursday. The yellow metal declined by ₹900 per 10 grams in the local market. Traders attributed the fall to selling pressure after recent gains.

Market experts said that a rise in global prices earlier had encouraged investors to book profits. This selling pressure impacted both silver and gold prices in the domestic market.

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They added that movements in international bullion prices and a stronger dollar also influenced the decline. Investors are now closely watching global economic signals for further direction in precious metal prices.

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India Should Boost Silver Processing, Diversify Imports

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India should strengthen its silver processing capabilities and diversify its import sources, according to the Global Trade Research Initiative (GTRI).GTRI said silver is not just a precious metal. It is also a critical input for industries and the clean energy transition.

The report highlighted the growing importance of silver in sectors such as electronics, solar energy, electric vehicles, and advanced manufacturing. GTRI said India should secure long-term mining supplies from overseas to ensure a stable flow of raw silver.

It also recommended boosting domestic refining capacity to reduce dependence on imported finished silver. The think tank stressed the need to expand silver recycling within the country to meet rising demand.

GTRI warned that heavy reliance on a few countries for processed silver could pose supply risks. It noted that China is currently the world’s dominant processor of silver. The report advised India to diversify its import sources to improve supply security and reduce vulnerability to global disruptions.

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GTRI said these measures would support India’s industrial growth and energy transition goals.

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